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Front Cover
1
Statistics in Medicine, Second Edition
4
Copyright Page
5
Contents
10
Foreword to the Second Edition
18
Foreword to the First Edition
20
Acknowledgments
22
Databases
24
Part I: A Study Course of Fundamentals
44
Chapter 1. Data, Notation, and Some Basic Terms
46
1.1. About This Book
46
1.2. Stages of Scientific Knowledge
48
1.3. Quantification and Accuracy
49
1.4. Data Types
50
1.5. Notation (or Symbols)
52
1.6. Samples, Populations, and Randomness
54
Chapter 2. Distribution
58
2.1. Frequency Distributions
58
2.2. Relative Frequencies and Probabilities
60
2.3. Characteristics of a Distribution
61
2.4. What Is Typical?
61
2.5. The Spread About the Typical
62
2.6. The Shape
64
2.7. Statistical Inference
66
2.8. Distributions Commonly Used in Statistics
68
2.9. Standard Error of the Mean
75
2.10. Joint Distributions of Two Variables
76
Chapter 3. Summary Statistics
80
3.1. Numerical Summaries, One Variable
80
3.2. Numerical Summaries, Two Variables
84
3.3. Pictorial Summaries, One Variable
86
3.4. Pictorial Summaries, Two Variables
94
3.5. Good Graphing Practices
97
Chapter 4. Confidence Intervals and Probability
100
4.1. Overview
100
4.2. The Normal Distribution
101
4.3. Confidence Interval on an Observation from an Individual Patient
104
4.4. Concept of a Confidence Interval on a Descriptive Statistic
104
4.5. Confidence Interval on a Mean, Known Standard Deviation
106
4.6. The t Distribution
107
4.7. Confidence Interval on a Mean, Estimated Standard Deviation
109
4.8. The Chi-square Distribution
111
4.9. Confidence Interval on a Variance or Standard Deviation
113
4.10. Other Frequently Seen Confidence Intevals and Probabilities
115
Chapter 5. Hypothesis Testing: Concept and Practice
118
5.1. Hypotheses in Inference
118
5.2. Error Probabilities
124
5.3. Two Policies of Testing
127
5.4. Organizing Data for Inference
128
5.5. Evolving a Way to Answer Your Data Question
131
Chapter 6. Statistical Testing, Risks, and Odds in Medical Decisions
136
6.1. Overview
136
6.2. Categorical Data: Basics
137
6.3. Categorical Data: Tests on 2 x 2 Tables
139
6.4. Categorical Data: Risks and Odds
144
6.5. Rank Data: Basics
148
6.6. Rank Data: The Rank-Sum Test to Compare Two Samples
149
6.7. Continuous Data: Basics of Means
151
6.8. Continuous Data: Normal ( z ) and t Tests to Compare Two Sample Means
153
6.9. Other Tests of Hypotheses
156
Chapter 7. Sample Size Required for a Study
158
7.1. Overview
158
7.2. Is the Estimate of Minimum Required Sample Size Adequate?
161
7.3. Sample Size in Means Testing
162
7.4. Minimum Sample Size Estimation for a Test of Two Means
164
7.5. Other Situations in Which Minimum Sample Size Estimation Is Used
165
Chapter 8. Statistical Prediction
168
8.1. What Is a "Model"?
168
8.2. Straight-Line Models
169
8.3. What Is "Regression" (and Its Relation to Correlation)?
171
8.4. Assessing and Predicting Relationships by Regression
173
8.5. Other Questions That Can Be Answered by Regression
175
8.6. Clinical Decisions and Outcomes Analysis
176
Chapter 9. Epidemiology
180
9.1. The Nature of Epidemiology
180
9.2. Some Key Stages in the History of Epidemiology
181
9.3. Concept of Disease Transmission
181
9.4. Descriptive Measures
182
9.5. Types of Epidemiologic Studies
185
9.6. An Informal Approach to Public Health Problems
187
9.7. Analysis of Survival and Causal Factors
188
Chapter 10. Reading Medical Articles
196
10.1. Assessing Medical Information from an Article
196
10.2. Keep in Mind How a Study Is Constructed
197
10.3. Study Types
198
10.4. Sampling Bias
200
10.5. Statistical Aspects Where Articles May Fall Short
201
10.6. Evolving Terms: Meta-analysis, Multivariable Analysis, and Others
203
10.7. Selection of Statistical Tests to Use in a Study
206
Answers to Chapter Exercise, Part I
208
Part II: A Reference Guide
228
Chapter 11. Using the Reference Guide
230
11.1. How to Use This Guide
230
11.2. Basic Concepts Needed to Use This Guide
231
Chapter 12. Planning Medical Studies
238
12.1. The Science Underlying Clinical Decision Making
238
12.2. The Objective of Statistics
239
12.3. Concepts in Study Design
241
12.4. Sampling Schemes
241
12.5. How to Randomize a Sample
242
12.6. How to Plan and Conduct a Study
244
12.7. Mechanisms to Improve Your Study Plan
245
12.8. How to Manage Data
247
12.9. Setting Up a Test Within a Study
248
12.10. Choosing the Right Test
249
12.11. Statistical Ethics in Medical Studies
251
Chapter 13. Finding Probabilities or Error
256
13.1. Introduction
256
13.2. The Normal Distribution
256
13.3. The t Distribution
258
13.4. The Chi-square Distribution
260
13.5. The F Distribution
262
13.6. The Binomial Distribution
264
13.7. The Poisson Distribution
267
Chapter 14. Confidence Intervals
270
14.1. Overview
270
14.2. Confidence Interval on a Mean, Known Standard Deviation
272
14.3. Confidence Interval on a Mean, Estimated Standard Deviation
274
14.4. Confidence Interval on a Variance or Standard Deviation
276
14.5. Confidence Interval on a Proportion
278
14.6. Confidence Interval on a Correlation Coefficient
280
Chapter 15. Tests on Categorical Data
284
15.1. Categorical Data Summary
284
15.2. 2 x 2 Tables: Contingency Tests
286
15.3. r x c Tables: Contingency Tests
290
15.4. Risks and Odds in Medical Decisions
294
15.5. 2 x 2 Tables: Tests of Association
304
15.6. Tests of Proportion
307
15.7. Tests of a Small Proportion (Close to Zero)
313
15.8. Matched Pair Test (McNemar's Test)
317
Chapter 16. Test on Ranked Data
324
16.1. Basics of Ranks
324
16.2. Single or Paired Small Samples: The Signed-Rank Test
325
16.3. Two Small Samples: The Rank-Sum Test
328
16.4 Three or More Independent Samples: The Kruskal–Wallis Test
330
16.5. Three or More Matched Samples: The Friedman Test
334
16.6. Single Large Samples: Normal Approximation to Signed-Rank Test
337
16.7. Two Large Samples: Normal Approximation to Rank-Sum Test
340
Chapter 17. Tests on Means of Continuous Data
348
17.1. Summary of Means Testing
348
17.2. Normal ( z ) and t Tests for Single or Paired Means
349
17.3. Post Hoc Confidence and Power
353
17.4. Normal ( z ) and t Tests for Two Means
354
17.5. Three or More Means: One-Way Analysis of Variance
362
Chapter 18. Multifactor Tests on Means of Continuous Data
374
18.1. Concepts of Elperimental Design
374
18.2. Two-Factor Analysis of Variance
376
18.3. Repeated-Measures Analysis of Variance
383
18.4. Analysis of Covariance
389
18.5. Three- and Higher-Factor Analysis of Variance
392
18.6. More Specialized Designs and Techniques
394
Chapter 19. Tests on Variances of Continuous Data
398
19.1. Basics of Tests on Variability
398
19.2. Single Samples
399
19.3. Two Samples
402
19.4. Three or More Samples
405
Chapter 20. Tests on the Distribution Shape of Continuous Data
412
20.1. Objectives of Tests on Distributions
412
20.2. Test of Normality of a Distribution
413
20.3. Test of Equality of Two Distributions
422
Chapter 21. Equivalence Testing
430
21.1. Concepts and Terms
430
21.2. Basics Underlying Equivalence Testing
431
21.3. Methods for Nonsuperiority Testing
432
21.4. Methods for Equivalence Testing
436
Chapter 22. Sample Size Required in a Study
440
22.1. Overview
440
22.2. Relation of Sample Size Calculated to Sample Size Needed
442
22.3. Sample Size for Tests on Means
442
22.4. Sample Size for Confidence Intervals on Means
449
22.5. Sample Size for Tests on Rates (Proportions)
450
22.6. Sample Size for a Confidence Interval on a Rate (Proportion)
454
22.7. Sample Size for Significance of a Correlation Coefficient
456
22.8. Sample Size for Tests on Ranked Data
458
22.9. Sample Size for Tests on Variances, Anaslysis of Variance, and Regression
459
Chapter 23. Modeling and Clinical Decisions
462
23.1. Overview of Modeling
462
23.2. Straight-Line Models
464
23.3. Curved Models
464
23.4. Constants of Fit for Any Model
469
23.5. Multiple-Variable Models
473
23.6. Clinical Decision Based on Recursive Partitioning
476
23.7. Number Needed to Treat or to Benefit
480
23.8. Clinical Decision Based on Measures of Effectiveness: Outcomes Analysis
484
Chapter 24. Regression and Correlation Methods
490
24.1. Regression Concepts and Assumptions
490
24.2. Correlation Concepts and Assumptions
493
24.3. Simple Regression
495
24.4. Correlation Coefficients
497
24.5. Tests and Confidence Intervals on Regression Parameters
500
24.6. Tests and Confidence Intervals on Correlation Coefficients
507
24.7. Curved Regression
511
24.8. Multiple Regression
516
24.9. Types of Regression
521
24.10. Logistic Regression
523
Chapter 25. Survival and Time-Series Analysis
530
25.1. Time-Dependent Data
530
25.2. Survival Curves: Estimation
530
25.3. Survival Curves: Testing
535
25.4. Sequential Analysis
537
25.5. Time Series: Detecting Patterns
546
25.6. Time-Series Data: Testing
554
Chapter 26. Methods You Might Meet, But Not Every Day
564
26.1. Overview
564
26.2. Analysis of Variance Issues
564
26.3. Regression Issues
565
26.4. Multivariate Methods
565
26.5. Nonparametric Tests
567
26.6. Imputation of Missing Data
568
26.7. Resampling Methods
568
26.8. Agreement Measures and Correlation
569
26.9. Bonferroni "Correction"
570
26.10. Logit and Probit
570
26.11. Adjusting for Outliers
571
26.12. Curve Fitting to Data
571
26.13. Tests of Normality
572
Chapter Summaries
574
References and Data Sources
624
Tables of Probability Distributions
629
I. Normal Distribution
630
II. t Distribution
631
III. Chi-square Distribution, Right Tail
632
IV. Chi-square Distribution, Left Tail
633
V. F Distribution
634
VI. Binomial Distribution
635
VII. Poisson Distribution
639
VIII. Signed-Rank Probabilities
642
IX. Rank-Sum U Probabilities
643
Symbol Index
646
Subject Index
650
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