Active Safety Methodologies of Rail Transportation

von: Yong Qin, Limin Jia

Springer-Verlag, 2018

ISBN: 9789811322600 , 216 Seiten

Format: PDF, OL

Kopierschutz: Wasserzeichen

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Active Safety Methodologies of Rail Transportation


 

Preface

6

Contents

8

Chapter 1: Fundamental of Rail Transportation Active Safety

11

1.1 Research Paradigm of Rail Transportation Active Safety

11

1.1.1 Concepts and Methodologies

11

1.1.2 Research Architecture

12

1.2 Literature Review

14

1.2.1 Safety Region Estimation Theory and Methods

14

1.2.2 State Identification and Predication of Train Equipment

17

1.2.2.1 Safety State Analysis of Equipment

18

1.2.2.2 State Monitoring and Evaluation of Wheel Rolling Bearings

21

1.2.3 Train Safety and Reliability Evaluation

24

1.3 Research Work of AuthorsĀ“ Group

26

References

29

Chapter 2: Safety Region Based Active Safety Methods

34

2.1 Safety Region Analysis Model

34

2.1.1 Basic Concepts

34

2.1.2 Processing Procedures

40

2.1.3 Computation Methods

41

2.2 Safety Region Based Accident-Causing Model

46

2.2.1 Concepts and Procedures

47

2.2.1.1 Definition of Safety Region

47

2.2.1.2 Analysis of Accident-Causing Model

49

2.2.2 Case Study

52

2.2.2.1 The Wenzhou Train Collision Accident Analysis

53

2.2.2.2 Specified Application of the Safety Control Measures

57

2.2.2.3 Corresponding Prevention Measures

60

References

61

Chapter 3: Train Equipment Fault Diagnosis and Prognosis

63

3.1 Fault Diagnosis of Rolling Bearings Based on Safety Region

63

3.1.1 The Configuration and Faults of Rolling Bearings

63

3.1.2 Rolling Bearings Vibration Mechanism

63

3.1.3 Procedure of the Safety Region Identification of Rolling Bearings

64

3.1.4 LMD of the Vibration Signal of Rolling Bearings

65

3.1.5 Safety Region Feature Extraction of Rolling Bearings

71

3.1.6 The Safety Region Identification of Rolling Bearings Based on SVM

75

3.2 Degradation Assessment of Rolling Bearings Based on SVDD

105

3.2.1 Support Vector Data Description

105

3.2.2 Particle Swarm Algorithm Based on Dynamic Weight Adjustment

108

3.2.3 Research on the Self-Adaptation Warning

111

3.2.4 Case Study

111

3.3 Fault Diagnosis of Door System Based on the Extended Petri Net

116

3.3.1 Subway Train Door: Open Process Analysis

116

3.3.2 Subway Train Door System Fault Diagnosis Theory and Method

116

3.3.3 Case Study

120

References

124

Chapter 4: Train Reliability and Safety Analysis

126

4.1 Introduction

126

4.1.1 Reliability and Safety Standards of European Railway System

126

4.1.2 System of Train Operational Reliability and Safety Analysis

127

4.1.2.1 Data

127

4.1.2.2 System Reliability Assessment

128

4.1.2.3 System Safety Assessment

128

4.1.3 Procedure of Train Operational Reliability and Safety Assessment

128

4.2 Reliability Analysis and Prediction of Bogie Frame

130

4.2.1 Reliability Analysis of Bogie Frame Based on Survival Analysis

130

4.2.1.1 Survival Analysis Theory

130

4.2.1.2 Maximum Likelihood Estimation

131

4.2.1.3 Goodness of Fit Test

132

4.2.2 Failure Rate Prediction of Bogie Frame Based on BP and PSO-BP Methods

132

4.2.2.1 BP Neural Network

132

4.2.2.2 Basic Principles of PSO

133

4.2.2.3 PSO-BP Prediction Model

133

4.2.3 Case Study

134

4.2.3.1 Analysis of Bogie Frame

134

4.2.3.2 Prediction of Failure Rate

137

4.3 Residual Life Prediction of Rolling Bearings Based on GA-BP

139

4.3.1 Residual Life Prediction Model of Rolling Bearings Based on GA-BP

139

4.3.2 Case Study

141

4.4 Operational Risk Assessment of High Speed Train

146

4.4.1 Basic Challenges of High Speed Train Operational Risk Assessment

150

4.4.1.1 Construction of High Speed Train Operational Risk Assessment Index System

151

4.4.1.2 Applications of TFNIFS in the Risk Assessment Index System

154

4.4.1.3 Correlation Risk Index

156

4.4.2 Dynamic VIKOR Method for High Speed Train Operational Risk Assessment

159

4.4.3 Case Study

163

References

171

Chapter 5: Operational Risk Analysis of Rail Transportation Network

173

5.1 Operational Risk Assessment Model

173

5.1.1 Operational Safety Assessment Index System of Metro Station

174

5.1.2 Operational Safety Assessment Index System of Traffic Line

177

5.1.3 Operational Safety Assessment Index System of Traffic Network

178

5.2 Operational Risk Prediction Model

179

5.2.1 Safety State Prediction Based on ARMA Model

182

5.2.2 Safety State Prediction Based on GA-SVR Model

184

5.3 Case Study

190

5.3.1 Case Study on ARMA Model

190

5.3.2 Case Study on GA-SVR Model

191

References

197

Chapter 6: Safety Prognostic Analysis in Traffic System

199

6.1 Traffic Operation Risk Analysis Model Based on Safety Region

199

6.1.1 Sequential Forward Selection and Principal Components Analysis

199

6.1.2 Computation Procedure

200

6.1.3 Case Study

201

6.1.3.1 Data Description

201

6.1.3.2 State Variable Extraction

202

6.1.3.3 Traffic Safety State Identification

203

6.2 Traffic Crash Risk Evaluation Model Based on Reliability Theory

206

6.2.1 Structural Reliability Analysis Theory

206

6.2.2 Analysis Procedure

208

6.2.3 Case Study

209

6.2.3.1 State Variable Selection

209

6.2.3.2 State Variable of Traffic System

210

6.2.3.3 Limited State Function Estimation

211

6.2.3.4 Test Results Analysis

213

References

216