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Future-Oriented Technology Analysis - Strategic Intelligence for an Innovative Economy
von: Cristiano Cagnin, Michael Keenan, Ron Johnston, Fabiana Scapolo, Rémi Barré
Springer-Verlag, 2008
ISBN: 9783540688112 , 169 Seiten
Format: PDF, OL
Kopierschutz: Wasserzeichen
Preis: 96,29 EUR
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Future-Oriented Technology Analysis - Strategic Intelligence for an Innovative Economy
Contents
5
Contributors
7
Positioning Future-Oriented Technology Analysis
9
1.1 Background
9
1.2 Generations and Principles
10
1.3 FTA and Decision-Making Processes
13
1.4 What We Would Like to Know About FTA but still Don’t
15
1.5 Summary of Chapters
17
References
21
Part I FTA in Context
22
Historical Review of the Development of Future- Oriented Technology Analysis
23
2.1 Introduction
23
2.2 Forecasting and Foresight
24
2.3 Technology Assessment
27
2.4 Conclusion
28
References
28
Fitting Future-Oriented Technology Analysis Methods to Study Types
30
3.1 Introduction
30
3.2 Features of FTA Activities
31
3.3 Matching Goals and Methods
34
3.4 FTA Types
36
3.5 Putting the Pieces Together: FTA Methods and Types
40
3.6 Conclusions
42
References
44
Revisiting Foresight Rationales: What Lessons from the Social Sciences and Humanities?
46
4.1 Introduction
46
4.2 The Promise of SSH?
48
4.3 Conceptualising Foresight
49
4.4 Putting Theory into Practice?
56
References
57
Monstrous Foresight
58
5.1 There’s No Future in Foresight
58
5.2 There’s No Future Because we Won’t Let it in
59
5.3 Is There a Future for Foresight?
65
5.4 What Might this Mean in Practice? Some Preliminary Thoughts
68
5.5 Conclusion
71
References
72
Part II FTA Applications
74
Technology Foresight as Innovation Policy Instrument: Learning from Science and Technology Studies
75
6.1 Introduction
75
6.2 Foresight and its Role Within the Innovation Process
76
6.3 Social Shaping of Technology
80
6.4 Some Implications for Foresight
85
6.5 Conclusions
88
References
89
Strategic Intelligence in Decision Making
92
7.1 Introduction
92
7.2 Evidence for Policy
93
7.3 Decision Making
95
7.4 Policy as a Process
98
7.5 Interactions Between Strategic Intelligence Applications and Decision- Making
100
7.6 Case Study: A Joined Innovation Process
102
7.7 Conclusions
103
References
104
Corporate Foresight
106
8.1 Introduction
106
8.2 Why Foresight in Companies?
106
8.3 Types of Corporate Foresight
107
8.4 Objectives and Methods of FTA in and for Business
112
8.5 Impacts of Corporate FTA and Outlook
114
References
116
The Higher Education Sector and its Role in Research: Status and Impact of International Future- Oriented Technology Analysis
118
9.1 Introduction
118
9.2 The Landscape of FTA on Higher Education and its Role in Research
119
9.3 Methods, Approaches and Participation
123
9.4 Content of FTA on HE: Common Drivers of Change
124
9.5 Tracing Policy Focus, Trends and Impacts
128
9.6 Conclusion
130
References
130
Applying FTA Methods in Latin American Countries
133
10.1 Introduction
133
10.2 First Latin American Experiences in Future- Oriented Studies
134
10.3 Recent Experiences
137
10.4 Applying Different Methodologies
139
10.5 Difficulties for FTA in Less Developed Countries
142
10.6 The Challenges
144
References
147
Part III FTA Futures
148
New Methodological Developments in FTA
149
11.1 Introduction
149
11.2 What’s New in FTA Methods?
150
11.3 FTA Methods
151
11.4 Conclusions
158
References
159
Future-Oriented Technology Analysis: Future Directions
163
12.1 Building Capacity in the FTA Community
165
12.2 Building Community Links
166
12.3 Raising Awareness of FTA Among Potential Users
167
12.4 Preparedness to Address Global Problems
168
12.5 Evaluation, Monitoring and Quality Control
168
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